Polls and predictions: where the NNP lost its votes

SOURCE: Electionsynopsis
OUTPUT TYPE: Journal Article
PUBLICATION YEAR: 2004
TITLE AUTHOR(S): S.Rule, K.Zuma, U.Pillay, M.Orkin
KEYWORDS: ELECTIONS
Print: HSRC Library: shelf number 3089
HANDLE: 20.500.11910/7720
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11910/7720

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Abstract

The central question raised by Rule et al. is the reliability of opinion polls and predictive methods used to generate data. This contribution traces the results of an HSRC poll conducted in September 2003, which predicted a relatively large imputed vote for the NNP. The authors account for this over-estimation.