Policy determinants of school outcomes under model uncertainty: evidence from South Africa
OUTPUT TYPE: Journal Article
PUBLICATION YEAR: 2015
TITLE AUTHOR(S): F.Murtin, T.Laurent, G.Barnard, D.Janse van Rensburg, V.Reddy, G.Frempong, L.Winnaar
KEYWORDS: BAYESIAN AVERAGING MODEL, EDUCATION, HIGHER EDUCATION, POLICY FORMULATION
DEPARTMENT: Equitable Education and Economies (IED)
Print: HSRC Library: shelf number 8846
HANDLE: 20.500.11910/1757
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11910/1757
If you would like to obtain a copy of this Research Output, please contact Hanlie Baudin at researchoutputs@hsrc.ac.za.
Abstract
In this paper, we assess the determinants of secondary school outcomes in South Africa. We use Bayesian model averaging techniques to account for uncertainty in the set of underlying factors that are chosen among a very large pool of explanatory variables in order to identify the subset of explanatory variables most strongly associated with the dependent variable. Our analysis indicates that the socio-economic background of pupils, demographic characteristics such as population groups (Black and White), as well as geographical locations account for a significant variation in pupils? achievement levels. We also find that the most robust policy determinants of pupils' test scores are the availability of a library at school, the use of IT in the classroom as well as school climate.-
Related Research Outputs:
- Educational research in the African development context: rediscovery, reconstruction and prospects
- Mathematics literacy of final year students: South African realities
- Changing modes: a brief overview of the mode 2 knowledge debate and its impact on South African policy formulation
- Equity, development, and new knowledge production: an overview of the new higher education policy environment in post-apartheid South Africa
- Human resources development review 2003: education, employment and skills in South Africa
- Intention, opportunity, choice: the transition from school to higher education
- 'Learning' through networks in South Africa
- Education and poverty reduction strategies: issues of policy coherence
- Improving education quality through implementable policies for public educators: final report
- The influence of politics on the formulation and implementation of national policies on education in South Africa from 1953 to the present
- Putting research on education and poverty into practice: strategies for education and poverty research
- Education and poverty: development policy options in a democratic era
- Education in South Africa: some points for policy coherence
- Skills development for poverty reduction: can FET colleges deliver?
- Curriculum restructuring in context: 1994-2007
- The 'nuts and bolts' of prior learning assessment in the Faculty of Education of the University of Pretoria, South Africa
- Making connections: self-study & social action
- Introduction
- Are we there yet?: towards the development of inclusive education in one district in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
- Race and opportunity in the transition from school to higher education in South Africa